ITALY COVID19


March 23rd 2020.

I have examined the situation of the infections in Italy, as it appears from the data up to March 21st.

The first two figures show the new and total cases of COVID19 in linear and logaritmic scales.

The linear figure shows a trend which appears close to exponential, while the logartmic one leaves the hope to a slight inflection of the logartmic linear trend.




























































The next two figures present, besides the new cases, the total ones, the deaths and the dimissions, the forecast made with the Malthus and Verhulst equations, in linear and logaritmic scales.

According to the Verhults equation the forecast is to reach a number of  around 60,000 infections by the end of March.

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